Modelling environmental change in Europe: towards a model inventory (SEIS/Forward) Document Actions
EEA has published a technical report to provide a non-exhaustive overview of modelling tools currently available to simulate future environmental change at a European scale.
Modelling tools have become an important cornerstone of environmental assessments, and play an important role in providing the data and indicators needed to describe the state of, trends in and prospects of the environment. The report presents a general characterisation of environmental models based on the themes covered, the geographical coverage and the analytical structure of the respective models. A pool of some 80 models is introduced, many of which have been used by the European Environment Agency in its recent environmental assessments and reports, a limited number of which are described in more detail. This review identifies gaps in the availability, accessibility and applicability of current modelling tools, and stresses the need to further stimulate the development and application of environmental forecasting techniques.
One of the basic requirements for the efficient use of forward-looking assessments is to improve and further develop forward-looking components of environmental information systems and integrate these into existing information systems. Here, the EEA is seeking to fill a gap in this area by developing forward-looking components of environment that will ultimately contribute to a Shared Environmental Information System (SEIS).
Such forward-looking information systems should include both purely quantitative information (such as projections) and combinations of qualitative and qualitative information (such as environmental scenarios). The objective of this forward-looking information system is not to produce better data to reflect a reality that has not yet unfolded, but to produce information that provides deeper understanding and insights into possible future developments.
Modelling tools have become an important cornerstone of environmental assessments, and play an important role in providing the data and indicators needed to describe the state of, trends in and prospects of the environment. The report presents a general characterisation of environmental models based on the themes covered, the geographical coverage and the analytical structure of the respective models. A pool of some 80 models is introduced, many of which have been used by the European Environment Agency in its recent environmental assessments and reports, a limited number of which are described in more detail. This review identifies gaps in the availability, accessibility and applicability of current modelling tools, and stresses the need to further stimulate the development and application of environmental forecasting techniques.
One of the basic requirements for the efficient use of forward-looking assessments is to improve and further develop forward-looking components of environmental information systems and integrate these into existing information systems. Here, the EEA is seeking to fill a gap in this area by developing forward-looking components of environment that will ultimately contribute to a Shared Environmental Information System (SEIS).
Such forward-looking information systems should include both purely quantitative information (such as projections) and combinations of qualitative and qualitative information (such as environmental scenarios). The objective of this forward-looking information system is not to produce better data to reflect a reality that has not yet unfolded, but to produce information that provides deeper understanding and insights into possible future developments.
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